Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 13 Dec 2025, the highest close was 73.5% on 25 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 35.5% on 29 Oct 2025. $11.55K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 13 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 61.5% |
| 13 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.27K |
| gopfan2 | Yes | 1.69K |
| zizar3 | Yes | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the election or referendum won by Democrats with the highest margin of victory compared to the other listed events, all scheduled for November 4, 2025: - Virginia Governor election - Virginia House of Delegates election - New Jersey Governor election - New York City Mayor election - California referendum “Proposition 50” If the results of any of these elections are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will be resolved according to the results published thus far. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official election authority sources conducting the election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-democratic-margin-of-victory
| Yes |
| 448.8 |
| amazingavacado | Yes | 126 |
| collecto | Yes | 105.26 |
| Qualified-Dwell | Yes | 20 |
| Hazaswine | Yes | 10 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 8 |
| GasTransFreaks | Yes | 5.41 |
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