Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 19 Apr 2024. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 2 Jun 2024 and the low 0.5% on 5 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 0.5% on 5 Jun 2024. $79.91K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 2:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 19 Apr 2024 – 5 Jun 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2024 | 7.5% |
| 5 Jun 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 56.81K |
| Retardio2 | Yes | 334 |
| tradingalpha | Yes | 13.33 |
| KTYFGHCXVB | Yes | 0.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls more than 400 seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/indian-election-how-many-seats-will-the-nda-win
| KKFGSDF | Yes | 0.07 |
| HJKFGKHJL | Yes | 0.07 |
| HFGDFGDFG | Yes | 0.07 |
| JGHJHGFKJG | Yes | 0.07 |
| OPYIUYTYE | Yes | 0.07 |
| gjghdfjgf | Yes | 0.07 |
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