Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 19 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2024 to 5 Jun 2024, the highest close was 41.5% on 30 May 2024 and the lowest 2.1% on 5 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 41.5% on 30 May 2024. $111.21K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 12:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 19 Apr 2024 – 5 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2024 | 17.5% |
| 5 Jun 2024 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 56.81K |
| iioooiii | Yes | 14.59K |
| rousseauuu | Yes | 13.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls between 300 (inclusive) and 325 (inclusive) seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/indian-election-how-many-seats-will-the-nda-win
| Yes |
| 5.55K |
| JSIE | Yes | 439.46 |
| Karan2612 | Yes | 232.56 |
| CitySatyam | Yes | 100 |
| EagleRules | Yes | 22.93 |
| Worthy-Contingency | Yes | 18.87 |
| liluzi | Yes | 11.02 |
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