Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 227 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 8 Aug 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.8% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. $7K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 8:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 227 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 1.6% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.27K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 390.7 |
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament). This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election. If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time. In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/central-african-republic-national-assembly-election-winner
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 291.99 |
| Chambersing | Yes | 282.5 |
| gregzer | Yes | 230.18 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 191 |
| Swift Comet 0609 | Yes | 167.36 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 140.8 |
| Pogranic | Yes | 135.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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