Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 263 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 14 Sep 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6.2% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Aug 2026. $495.91K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 263 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 14 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 2.9% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 59.33K |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 732.33 |
| Nifty-File | Yes | 658.3 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner
| Famous-Underground | Yes | 522.48 |
| Lunar Beacon A3C5 | Yes | 450 |
| Kilo22 | Yes | 408.87 |
| Unwelcome-Degree | Yes | 333.33 |
| Alex66701111 | Yes | 333.33 |
| Upset-Weasel | Yes | 303.03 |
| Lined-Odyssey | Yes | 210.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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