Will the median home value in the US be between $435,000 and $437,000 on June 30?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 30, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 27% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 30 Jun 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 5 Jun 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 5.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $1.1K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 12:32 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 30 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Jun 2026	27.0%
30 Jun 2026	24.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	156.45
Neon Lynx 895D	Yes	66.21
pitco	Yes	62.02

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)