Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, down 8.1 points from 13% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.4%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 4% on 6 Oct 2026.
$507K - $511K ranks fourth of the 7 outcomes in “What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?”. <$503K leads at 71.5%; $511K - $515K is at 11.8%.
$1.44K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $630.26, with a 7.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 62 trades, $43.36 bought Yes and $714.1 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 195 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 651. Ten wallets hold 94.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 650.59 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 194.79 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 149 |
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/61)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-dc-metro-area-be-on-december-31
| BKNova |
| Yes |
| 132 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 109.63 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 87.44 |
| cigarettes | No | 60 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 40.92 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 39.4 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 22.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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