Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,100,000 by February 1?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$5.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 1 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 61% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.2% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 89.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $5.12K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 3, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Jan 2026	61.0%
1 Feb 2026	94.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.73K
TENETENET	No	100
banan	No	100

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on February 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on February 1, 2026. If no data for February 1 is released by February 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/2)