Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

economyResolved

No, settled Sep 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$40.2K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 30, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 64.5% on 12 Jul 2026. $40.22K traded over the market's life.

57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Sep 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Neon Lynx 895D	Yes	3.35K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.26K
Huye168	Yes	666

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)