
Resolved No on 19 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2024 to 19 Apr 2024, the highest close was 54% on 13 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 10% on 14 Mar 2024. $54.95K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 20 Jan 2024 – 19 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
| 19 Apr 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.49K |
| Ernityo | Yes | 3.41K |
| wagmi69420 | Yes | 230.17 |
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gas-price-per-blob-1-month-after-eip-4844
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Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.