Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2024 to 19 Apr 2024, the highest close was 59% on 30 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 19 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 24.5% on 31 Mar 2024. $28.14K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 20 Jan 2024 – 19 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
| 19 Apr 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.49K |
| Jesse Pollak | Yes | 99.97 |
| Huge-Termination | Yes | 10 |
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gas-price-per-blob-1-month-after-eip-4844
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 2.33 |
| asddasdas123 | Yes | 2.17 |
| Spokez | Yes | 2.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
