
Resolved No on 14 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 68% on 31 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2023 to 14 Nov 2023, the highest close was 68% on 31 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 25.5% on 5 Nov 2023. $51.74K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 31 Oct 2023 – 14 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2023 | 68.0% |
| 14 Nov 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Walter White | Yes | 495.17 |
| Aurelius-873 | Yes | 250 |
| MPASXG | Yes | 93.02 |
| Spacecabbage | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-marvels-opening-weekend
| cryptogirl | Yes | 4.55 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page