Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 8.64 |
| $0.810 |
| $7 |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will US attack Iran by February 15?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Feb 3, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jan 24, 2024 |
 Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?No | buy | 3 | $0.350 | $1.05 | Dec 12, 2023 |
 Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.650 | $0.65 | Nov 22, 2023 |
 Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.015 | $0.03 | Nov 22, 2023 |
 Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 12.16 | $0.510 | $6.2 | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.502 | $0.5 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.480 | $0.48 | Nov 20, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.518 | $1.1 | Nov 20, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.760 | $0.76 | Nov 19, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.720 | $0.72 | Nov 19, 2023 |
 Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?Yes | sell | 3.18 | $0.580 | $1.84 | Nov 19, 2023 |
 Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 11.23 | $0.930 | $10.44 | Nov 18, 2023 |
 Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.16 | $0.998 | $10.14 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.220 | $3.96 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.610 | $1.83 | Nov 16, 2023 |
| Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.310 | $0.93 | Nov 15, 2023 |
| Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.550 | $1.75 | Nov 15, 2023 |
| Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.900 | $6.65 | Nov 14, 2023 |
| Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.440 | $5.72 | Nov 13, 2023 |
| Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.400 | $5.2 | Nov 13, 2023 |
| Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.400 | $0.8 | Nov 13, 2023 |
| Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.440 | $0.88 | Nov 13, 2023 |
 Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend?No | sell | 3 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Oct 29, 2023 |
| Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Oct 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Oct 23, 2023 |
| Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend?No | buy | 1 | $0.500 | $0.5 | Oct 18, 2023 |
 Will 'The Marvels' flop?No | sell | 3 | $0.250 | $0.75 | Oct 18, 2023 |
| Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend?No | buy | 1 | $0.500 | $0.5 | Oct 18, 2023 |
 Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.310 | $2.9 | Oct 12, 2023 |
| Will 'The Marvels' flop?No | buy | 1 | $0.340 | $0.34 | Oct 12, 2023 |
| Will 'The Marvels' flop?No | buy | 1 | $0.340 | $0.34 | Oct 12, 2023 |
| Will 'The Marvels' flop?No | buy | 1 | $0.400 | $0.4 | Oct 11, 2023 |
| Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Oct 9, 2023 |
 Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.920 | $17.6 | Oct 8, 2023 |
| Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Oct 8, 2023 |