Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73%. Yes opened at 41% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 27 Feb 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 27% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 27% on 27 Feb 2026. $7.41K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 28, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 27 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 41.0% |
| 27 Feb 2026 | 27.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NotYourAverageGoy | Yes | 635.74 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 506.97 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 166 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election is currently scheduled for February 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election in Greater Manchester. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the election results are not clear by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Manchester City Council (https://www.manchester.gov.uk/elections).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gorton-and-denton-by-election-margin-of-victory
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 55.56 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 32 |
| Noname1023 | Yes | 20 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 15 |
| PX5300 | No | 0.09 |
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