Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 20 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2024 to 22 Oct 2024, the highest close was 98% on 22 Oct 2024 and the lowest 51.5% on 28 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 78.5% on 21 Oct 2024. $202.05K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 11:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 20 Sep 2024 – 22 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2024 | 68.5% |
| 22 Oct 2024 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.36K |
| Histas | Yes | 0.09 |
| Trump1st | Yes | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Canadian province of New Brunswick has scheduled a general election for October 21, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal party (New Brunswick Liberal Association) controls a greater number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick than any other party after the results of the 2024 New Brunswick general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by March 31, 2025, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New Brunswick government and/or information published by Elections New Brunswick (https://www.electionsnb.ca/content/enb/en.html). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-most-seats-in-new-brunswick-election
| No |
| 0.06 |
| SardinaMina | Yes | 0.05 |
| vi222vivvvvvvvhjgftghjvghdfhghjgfyrfghf | Yes | 0.03 |
| CryptoBecu | Yes | 0.02 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
