Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.2%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 12 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 98.2% on 30 Apr 2025 and the low 8% on 13 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 63 points up, to 98.2% on 30 Apr 2025. $103.12K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 19 points · 12 Apr 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | 22.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 98.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 44.01K |
| heuer | No | 900 |
| WhyIsItCalledX | No | 2.55 |
| Karekken | Yes | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the House of Commons between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Canadian general election (e.g. Liberals control 190, Conservatives control 100, difference = 90). If neither the Conservative nor Liberal party win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory
| TYriplecheese | No | 0.03 |
| smoltrader | Yes | 0.02 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 0.01 |
| theamityaff | Yes | 0.01 |
| Cajetan | No | 0.01 |
| tomdek93 | Yes | 0.01 |
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