Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 26 Apr 2025 and the low 12% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12% on 30 Apr 2025. $176.37K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 23 Apr 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal party wins 5 or more seats in the House of Commons in Alberta as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-liberal-party-win-5-seats-in-alberta
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