Will the Labour Party (Ap) win less than 47 seats in the Norwegian election?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.5K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 15, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.2%. Yes opened at 23% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 15 Sep 2025, the highest close was 23% on 4 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 3.7% on 7 Sep 2025. $3.49K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 12:43 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 15 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Sep 2025	23.0%
15 Sep 2025	3.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.73K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	520
Theturtle	Yes	379.81
aJAY222	Yes	309.09

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025. This market will resolve based on the number of seats the Labour Party (Ap) wins in the Norwegian Storting (Norway's parliament) as a result of the next Norwegian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Norwegian parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).