Will the Jatiya Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$6.4K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 20.5% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 7% on 13 Feb 2026. $6.35K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 2:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Feb 2026	20.0%
15 Feb 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.87K
TENETENET	Yes	999.99
RememberAmalek	Yes	667.65

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad), in this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the House of the Nation in this election. If additional seats are contested after the results of this election are made official (i.e. seats reserved for women are contested at a later date), those seats will not be considered for resolution of this market. If a second house of the Bangladeshi parliament is established, seats in that house will not be considered for resolution of this market. The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).