Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 29% on 14 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2025 to 7 Feb 2025, the highest close was 38.5% on 3 Feb 2025 and the lowest 22% on 19 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 30.5% on 4 Feb 2025. $8.12K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 1:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 14 Jan 2025 – 7 Feb 2025, chart shows 15%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2025 | 29.0% |
| 7 Feb 2025 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.68K |
| alo16 | Yes | 22 |
| antoshkavlasio | No | 0.02 |
| testeman | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the unemployment rate for January.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/january-unemployment-rate
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