
Resolved Yes on 29 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 29 May 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 22 May 2025 and the lowest 48% on 12 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 90% on 17 May 2025. $77.1K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 29 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 81.5% |
| 29 May 2025 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | No | 1.1K |
| jaba1 | No | 375.57 |
| rousseauuu | No | 350 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The IRS collected $4,694,335,168,000 in tax revenue in FY 2023 (see: https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-irs-data-book) This market will resolve to ”Yes” if the IRS collects more than $4,694,335,168,000 for FY 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the IRS does not release it's Data Book for 2024 by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the first official release of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Data Book.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-irs-collect-more-taxes-this-year-than-last
| No |
| 295.17 |
| GDFDFGDF | No | 70 |
| flower21 | No | 20 |
| bilbo11111 | No | 20 |
| TechnoHoodlum | Yes | 11.36 |
| blueb | No | 11.36 |
| fudc | No | 7.69 |
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