Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 96% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 85 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 18 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 85.8% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.6 points down, to 85.8% on 1 Aug 2026. $2.49K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 2:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 85 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 18 Sep 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 96.0% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TBill1 | No | 321.79 |
| Genuine-News-Penguin | No | 132.64 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only). If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-the-iphone-18-pro-cost-20260623232158676
| No |
| 61.62 |
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | No | 50 |
| Mojito9 | No | 24.29 |
| politeste | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 15 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| fbfdcbhfd | Yes | 8.02 |
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