Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 2% on 24 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 27 Jul 2026, the highest close was 8.7% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points up, to 8.7% on 25 Jul 2026. $7.54K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.0% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chrome | Yes | 2.53K |
| Utp | Yes | 168.05 |
| Monumental-Passing | Yes | 160 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/houthis-successfully-target-shipping-byptptpt-20260722224646691
| Untimely-Boy | Yes | 9.99 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 9.91 |
| PPMT | No | 0.07 |
| yuyuyuyuyyuuyuyu | Yes | 0.02 |
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