Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $4.67 | -$0.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 14.56 | $0.188 | $2.74 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 17.86 |
| $0.280 |
| $3.84 |
| -$1.16 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $3.1 | -$6.9 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $2.86 | -$7.14 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.67 | $0.265 | $2.82 | -$2.93 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 18.4 | $0.200 | $1.93 | -$1.75 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 6.7 | $0.200 | $1.47 | +$0.13 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 8.23 | $0.121 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| sell |
| 17.14 |
| $0.330 |
| $5.66 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 113.33 | $0.070 | $7.93 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 233.33 | $0.060 | $14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 51.63 | $0.179 | $9.24 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.13 | $0.160 | $2.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.87 | $0.500 | $2.44 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.620 | $1.41 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.55 | $0.330 | $11.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 59.29 | $0.210 | $12.45 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.25 | $0.024 | $1.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.940 | $1.96 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.248 | $2.66 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.760 | $2.66 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.47 | $0.780 | $5.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 30.23 | $0.153 | $4.63 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.61 | $0.221 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.81 | $0.338 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.09 | $0.230 | $6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.71 | $0.184 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Yes | buy | 33.58 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |