Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 25 points from 29% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 8.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?”.
$357.84 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.09K since listing. The order book holds $1K, with a 5.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 122 shares; the largest No position is TheWindKnowsmyName with 328.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | No | 327.84 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 122.12 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 80 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-house-pass-another-reconciliation-bill-byptptpt-20260626182351992
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 65.14 |
| Any-Venue | No | 50.43 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 40 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| boofa | Yes | 20 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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