Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 21 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 26.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $2.28K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 45.5% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| akko123 | Yes | 300 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-house-pass-another-reconciliation-bill-byptptpt-20260626182351992
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wouldbenice | Yes | 40 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 33.34 |
| Ringed-Poncho | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| Slimy-Coin | Yes | 0.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
