Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$27.0K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.1% on 22 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 3.1% on 22 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Feb 2025. $27.03K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 2:52 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 22 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Feb 2025	3.1%
1 Mar 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	25.5K
CryptoFutur	Yes	2.45K
Lindsxy	No	0.02

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to the political party that controls the second most seats in the 44th Parliament of Ontario as a result of the upcoming election. If voting in the next Ontario parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).