
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 20.5% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 6 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 4% on 1 Jan 2026. $15.36K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 8, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 20.5% |
| 6 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pmfpjd | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 454 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 343 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, January 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by January 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-756
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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