Analytics
Yes is at 98%, up 23 points from 75% when the market opened on 20 Jun 2026.
Across the 124 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.9% on 23 Jun 2026 and the lowest 75% on 20 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 98.1%; a month before, 97.4%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 89.5% on 21 Jun 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price”.
$9.61K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.15K, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 133 trades, $1.64K bought Yes and $167.32 bought No.
The largest Yes position is HotDogs with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is yen4u with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 89.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 124 points, 20 Jun 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2026 | 75.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yen4u | No | 2.52K |
| HotDogs | Yes | 1.7K |
| ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO | Yes | 482.16 |
Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-ps5-launch-price-20260618223907119
| INOAG |
| Yes |
| 300.9 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 265.81 |
| claudelover | Yes | 247.98 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 246.52 |
| 4e2fbc2acf | Yes | 64.31 |
| coshi | Yes | 60 |
| natchossx | No | 59.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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