Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 34% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 34% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 28.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $68.29K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 9:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 34.0% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| djdjdj | Yes | 12K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.25K |
| Azure Atlas 8CA9 | Yes | 2.03K |
| ratrace | Yes | 1.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Finals matchup determined by the teams that advance from the Semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Finals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-finals-exact-matchup-20260708195422328
| 42069knoscope | Yes | 1.38K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1.31K |
| Cobalt Falcon 6C92 | Yes | 1.2K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
| PatrickBateman | Yes | 940.01 |
| matbobpol | Yes | 811.21 |
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