Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 30% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2025, the highest close was 30% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 10 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 3.6% on 9 Oct 2025. $9.51K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 10 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 30.0% |
| 10 Oct 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.69K |
| BeN | Yes | 232.24 |
| dslon | Yes | 200 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 133.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if “Taylor Swift - The Fate of Ophelia (Official Music Video)” has at least 1.5 million likes on its official YouTube video page at 12:00 PM ET on October 10, 2025. If the video is offline at that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official YouTube video page for “The Fate of Ophelia” (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ko70cExuzZM), using the publicly visible like counter at the specified time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-fate-of-ophelia-have-1-million-likes-on-friday-at-noon
| hodl11 | Yes | 82.45 |
| alexnes | Yes | 51.36 |
| adkg | Yes | 50.83 |
| darthaunty | Yes | 50 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 49 |
| MiHua | Yes | 5.73 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
