Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 195 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 28 Jul 2025, the highest close was 40.5% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 40.5% on 21 Jan 2025. $461.43K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 6:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 195 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 28 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 11.5% |
| 28 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 568.08K |
| Anjun | Yes | 48.3K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 16.21K |
This is a market group over which movie will make the most money over its opening weekend in 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-best-opening-weekend-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 15.85K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 15.84K |
| MasonsConqueredRome | Yes | 11.34K |
| pi227 | Yes | 9.93K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 8.1K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 6.4K |
| Silver Raven B802 | Yes | 5.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
