Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 7 May 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 7 May 2026. $1.42K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 1:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 May 2026 – 7 May 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 49.5% |
| 7 May 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| giganon | No | 1.03K |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by May 31?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-may-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Mojito9 | No | 10 |
