Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.4%. Yes opened at 54% on 22 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 85.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $17.89K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 6:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 22 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | 54.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 9.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jet-open | Yes | 141.43 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 10 |
| sadsee | Yes | 7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-april-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 5 |
| qbsk | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| wwder | Yes | 4.99 |
| lll999 | Yes | 4.68 |
| .ghjkgh | Yes | 1.32 |
