Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 79% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 64 points up, to 79% on 6 Jun 2026. $1.32K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 52.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frozenriver | Yes | 500 |
| Fuadkrm7 | Yes | 100.01 |
| Sweltering-Palm | Yes | 74.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 50 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 15 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
