Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 77.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 4 Jun 2026, the highest close was 77.5% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 3 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 77.5% on 4 Jun 2026. $1.01K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 5, 1:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 4 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 50.5% |
| 4 Jun 2026 | 77.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frozenriver | No | 500 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-june-30
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