Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 42.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 43.5% on 2 May 2026 and the low 42% on 4 May 2026. $444.48 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 1:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 May 2026 – 7 May 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 43.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| KrauzeN | No | 100 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| James-Claude | No | 30 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 20 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by May 31?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-may-31
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