Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by July 31?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$994

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomEthereum Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 7.5% on 3 Jul 2026. $994.25 traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Jul 2026	50.0%
1 Aug 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
TENETENET	Yes	100
triklozoid	Yes	14.99
rocketcrypto	Yes	5

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.