Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 39.9% on 29 Apr 2026. $76.61K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 5:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 22 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| L0byL0bster | Yes | 60.59 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 33.72 |
| ARB10086 | Yes | 33.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-april-30
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| Yes |
| 28 |
| Irritating-Keeper | Yes | 25.64 |
| Royal Kestrel DA2D | Yes | 25.64 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 22 |
| jet-open | Yes | 21.07 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 10 |
| Common-Marsh | Yes | 6.67 |
