Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 49% on 22 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 22 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 36.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $2.54K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 4:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 22 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olka | Yes | 18.75 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-april-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 5 |
| wwder | Yes | 4.99 |
