Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 14 May 2024 to 20 Jun 2024, the highest close was 52% on 29 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 52% on 29 May 2024. $1.91K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 9:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 14 May 2024 – 20 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2024 | 50.0% |
| 20 Jun 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 European Parliament election is scheduled to be held from June 6-9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European People's Party (EPP) controls between 150 (inclusive) and 159 seats (inclusive) in the European Parliament after the results of the 2024 European Parliamentary election are finalized. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the official party affiliations at the time of the official announcement of the election results. Any changes in party affiliations by members after the official election results have been declared will not affect the outcome of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eu-election-how-many-seats-will-the-epp-win
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