Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.2% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.1% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.9 points up, to 15.1% on 17 Feb 2026.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 4:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 8.2% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30.8K |
| namegune | Yes | 19.16K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 5.65K |
| Ivory Pioneer 5D20 | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-dhs-shutdown-end
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| products | Yes | 2.38K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 804.25 |
| kamarat | Yes | 500 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 500 |
| human.bean | Yes | 484.62 |
