Analytics
Yes is at 86.5%, up 43 points from 44% when the market opened on 4 Sep 2026.
Across the 52 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 44% on 4 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 80%; a month before, 80.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 78.5% on 5 Sep 2026.
Anita Earls (D) is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner”, ahead of Sarah Stevens (R) at 13%.
$14.95 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.49K since listing. The order book holds $13.07K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 68 trades, $1.7K bought Yes and $155.11 bought No.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 495 shares; the largest No position is bonalddrunk with 400. Ten wallets hold 86.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 44.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 86.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks | Yes | 494.98 |
| bonalddrunk | No | 400 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 335.61 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-supreme-court-election-winner
| Magician5342 |
| Yes |
| 305.97 |
| DVNBet | Yes | 142.43 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 105.7 |
| Bodytobody | No | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 69.32 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 54.8 |
| i2dt | Yes | 50.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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