Analytics
Yes is at 85%, up 38 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 52 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88.5% on 7 Sep 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 5 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 84%; a month before, 87.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 88.5% on 7 Sep 2026.
Garlin Gilchrist (D) is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner”, ahead of Anthony Forlini (R) at 15.5%.
$174.56 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.68K since listing. The order book holds $19.82K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 96 trades, $1.33K bought Yes and $229.15 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Emerald Pioneer B836 with 871 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 845. Ten wallets hold 90.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 46.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 85.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer B836 | Yes | 871.16 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 844.97 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 530.25 |
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/michigan-secretary-of-state-election-winner-2026
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 501 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 290 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 264.03 |
| Jumbajuz | Yes | 155.12 |
| sweetj | Yes | 109 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 95 |
| ludo-money | Yes | 73.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
