Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 30 Apr 2025 and the lowest 50% on 23 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 99.6% on 30 Apr 2025. $259.17K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hkjhln | No | 38 |
| BH4666545BBJNKM | No | 15 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 0.01 |
| theamityaff | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative party wins 7 or more seats in the House of Commons in New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, and Prince Edward Island as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-conservative-party-win-7-seats-in-atlantic-canada
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