Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 15 Sep 2025, the highest close was 95.5% on 11 Sep 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 6 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 95.5% on 11 Sep 2025. $334.16 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 16, 8:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 15 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 49.0% |
| 15 Sep 2025 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 215 |
| lissartter | No | 20 |
| silicone45 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025. This market will resolve based on the number of seats the Conservative Party (H) wins in the Norwegian Storting (Norway's parliament) as a result of the next Norwegian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Norwegian parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-seats-will-the-conservative-party-h-win-in-norwegian-election
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