
Resolved No on 7 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2025 to 7 Sep 2025, the highest close was 32.5% on 7 Aug 2025 and the lowest 11.5% on 17 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 19% on 12 Aug 2025. $2.17K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 7, 11:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 5 Aug 2025 – 7 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 25.0% |
| 7 Sep 2025 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.58K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 220 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 201 |
| psap | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on which of the listed NFL teams will be the first to win a game in the 2025 NFL regular season. This market will resolve to the first listed team to record an official win in the 2025 NFL regular season (preseason games do not count). If two or more teams win in the same gameweek, the market will resolve in favor of the team whose game ended earliest by official clock time (Eastern Time). If none of the listed teams win a regular season game, the market will resolve in favor of the team that scored the most total points in the NFL regular season. If a tie still remains, the market will resolve to the team listed first alphabetically by team name (e.g., Browns would resolve to “Yes” over Saints). The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-garbage-nfl-team-wins-first
| Tyatsmr | Yes | 73.68 |
| lissartter | Yes | 40 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 29 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
| PMMMR | Yes | 4.76 |
| Mattacchione | Yes | 2.08 |
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