
Resolved No on 23 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 29 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 117 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2024 to 23 Dec 2024, the highest close was 48.8% on 11 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 48.8% on 11 Nov 2024. $572.23K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 24, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 29 Aug 2024 – 23 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | 1.1% |
| 23 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 372.65K |
| Jade Quasar D7A7 | Yes | 6.56K |
| PaulDenino | Yes | 5.72K |
NFC Champion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfc-champion
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| Yes |
| 503.86 |
| JackTorrance | Yes | 334.51 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 185 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 40 |
| GlacierSilhouetteAbyss | Yes | 26.86 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 20 |
| CascadeIvoryOrion | Yes | 10.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.