Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 57% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 7% on 28 Jun 2026. $1.32K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 48.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frozenriver | Yes | 499.99 |
| Sweltering-Palm | Yes | 123.58 |
| tumadre | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 50 |
| 69dsfs | Yes | 10.6 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| rrgtrtrgr | Yes | 0.01 |
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