Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 67% on 22 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 67% on 22 Mar 2026 and the lowest 50% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 52.5% on 25 Mar 2026. $28.45K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 22 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | 67.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jet-open | No | 75 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| Golden Beacon EEB8 | No | 5 |
| Swift Falcon 4D4B | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-april-30
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